Ekholm, Tommi; Korhonen, Hannele (2016): Climate change mitigation strategy under an uncertain Solar Radiation Management possibility
Ekholm, Tommi; Korhonen, Hannele (2016): Climate change mitigation strategy under an uncertain Solar Radiation Management possibility. In Climatic Change 139 (3-4), pp. 503–515. DOI 10.1007/s10584-016-1828-5 .
„Here, we present probabilistic emission scenarios that limit global mean temperature increase to 2 °C under uncertainty on possible future SRM deployment. Three uncertainties relating to SRM deployment are covered: the start time, intensity and possible termination. We find that the uncertain SRM option allows very little additional GHG emissions before the SRM termination risk can be excluded, and the result proved robust over different hypothetical probability assumptions for SRM deployment.“