Roshan, Elnaz; et al. (2018): Cost-Risk Trade-Off of Mitigation and Solar Geoengineering. Considering Regional Disparities Under Probabilistic Climate Sensitivity
Roshan, Elnaz; M. Khabbazan, Mohammad; Held, Hermann (2018): Cost-Risk Trade-Off of Mitigation and Solar Geoengineering. Considering Regional Disparities Under Probabilistic Climate Sensitivity. In Environ Resource Econ 113 (9), p.[nbsp]5886. DOI: 10.1007/s10640-018-0261-9.
„Here, we investigate to what extent a proponent of the 2[nbsp]°C-temperature target would apply SGE in conjunction with mitigation in view of regional disparities in temperature and precipitation. We apply cost-risk analysis (CRA), which is a decision analytic framework that trades-off expected welfare-loss from climate policy costs and climate risks from transgressing a climate target. Here, in ‘Giorgi’-regional-scale analyses, we evaluate the optimal mix of SGE and mitigation under probabilistic information about climate sensitivity and generalize CRA in order to include regional temperature and precipitation risks.“