Nature – Burton et al. (2024): Fire weakens land carbon sinks before 1.5 °C
Chantelle A. Burton, Douglas I. Kelley, Eleanor Burke, Camilla Mathison, Chris D. Jones, Richard A. Betts, Eddy Robertson, João C. M. Teixeira, Manoel Cardoso, Liana O. Anderson IN: Nature Geoscience, 17, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01554-7
The Paris temperature ambitions and remaining carbon budgets mostly use models that lack feedback among fire, vegetation and carbon, which are essential for understanding the future resilience of ecosystems. Here the authors use a coupled fire–vegetation model to explore regional impacts and feedbacks across global warming levels. They address whether the 1.5 °C goal is consistent with avoiding significant ecosystem changes when considering shifts in fire regimes.