Mosley et al. (2025): Applying the greenhouse gas inventory calculation approach to predict the forest carbon sink
Fredric Mosley, Jari Niemi and Sampo Soimakallio, IN: Carbon Balance and Management, https://doi.org/10.1186/s13021-025-00307-2
Finland’s national Climate Act contains a target for carbon neutrality by 2035. Achieving this target not only depends on the effective implementation of emission reductions, but to a large part on the forest carbon sink. A recent publication of the Government’s analysis, assessment, and research activities highlights a potential disparity in forest land greenhouse gas (GHG) balance estimates by the ex-ante scenario model used in the National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP), and the ex-post GHG inventory methodology used for creating an official record of emissions and removals. Better methodological compatibility is needed to answer a key question: How large will the forest carbon sink be in different scenarios? This study is a first attempt to show the usefulness of applying the GHG inventory calculation approach to predict the forest carbon sink.