Chen et al. (2025): Multi-scenario land use simulation and carbon storage prediction analysis in the Hainan Tropical Rainforest National Park
Zongzhu Chen, Xiaorong Jiang, Xiaoyan Pan, Yiqing Chen, Jinrui Lei, Tingtian Wu, Xiaohua Chen, Yuanling Li and Tiezhu Shi, IN: Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2025.1539340
Protected areas like national parks play a pivotal role in carbon sequestration, a function essential for achieving global climate mitigation goals as climate change accelerates. However, a significant challenge lies in reconciling conservation mandates with pressures for economic growth within these regions. The present study addresses this issue by investigating China’s Hainan Tropical Rainforest National Park (HNTRNP). By integrating 10 natural and socioeconomic variables, the authors applied the PLUS-InVEST model to quantify historical carbon stock dynamics from 1980 to 2020 and to project future storage capacities for 2035 under various development pathways.