O’Keefe et al. (2025): Net-zero for Canada: An open-method modeling approach

Kowan T.V. O’Keefe, Matthew Binsted, Leon Clarke, Ryna Cui, Nathan Hultman, Robert Hunt Sprinkle, IN: Energy and Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100224

Canada is a major oil- and gas-producing country that has committed into law an ambitious goal: net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions economy-wide by 2050. In this work, transition dynamics for Canada are examined across several net-zero GHG emissions scenarios with detailed policy representation using the open-source Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM). To the authors knowledge, this study is the first modeling analysis of Canadian net-zero GHG emissions scenarios with extensive policy representation and detailed sensitivity analysis. A major contribution of the authors’ open-method modeling approach is making the entire analysis publicly available to facilitate vetting, replicability, precise comparability with other studies, and modification by others to explore additional scenarios. 

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