Tu et al. (2026): Scaling up enhanced rock weathering for equitable climate change mitigation
Ying Tu, Radine Rafols, Yangyang Xu, Natalia Butler, Linah Ababneh, Feng Tao, Veerabhadran Ramanathan, Benjamin Z. Houlton & Chuan Liao, IN: Communications Sustainability, https://doi.org/10.1038/s44458-026-00034-w
Enhanced rock weathering (ERW) is an emerging approach to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere while improving soil health and crop productivity. Yet its long-term climate impact remains uncertain due to limited understanding of how adoption will evolve across regions, income groups, and in response to a warming world. Here, the authors combine historical analogs of technological diffusion with a coupled human–nature feedback model to provide spatially explicit projections of global ERW adoption through 2100. They develop five scenarios reflecting varying levels of policy ambition, societal responsiveness, and implementation capacity.